By observed freuency, one hits the target 90 times out of 100 times so we then conclude P(hit) = 0.9. Then, the probi one can hit 90 times out of 100 times = 100C90 • 0.9^90 • 0.1^10 = 0.1319, which is far less than 0.9. So actually how should we understand P(hit) = 0.9 this statement. From frequency, seems we are saying 90% of the times one will hit, so why not P(90 hit out of 100 hit) simply = 0.9? (I know it is wrong but I can't give a good explanation to this) Also, if not using frequency approach, then P(hit) = 0.9 is it just we can say someone is "quite/very accurate" only? Thanks for all your comments!!🙏🏾
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